NFLComputerPicksBUFBUF
@
NYJNYJ
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET Lean
SpreadNYJ +6.5 +2.0
TotalOver 43.5 +2.0
MoneylineBUF -180
ProjectionBUF 25 – NYJ 21
Model confidence62%
Week 2 · 2026 season
NFL computer picks — this week's full slate
Every matchup below is graded by our model against the current market. The edge next to each pick is how many points our projection differs from the sportsbook line — the bigger the gap, the stronger the play. 7 of 8 games cleared our edge threshold this week. Click any game for the full preview.
Reading the cards: Strong plays clear our highest edge threshold; Lean plays are smaller edges worth a lighter unit; Pass means no edge worth betting. Auto-updated Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT.
SFSF
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SEASEA
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:05 PM ET Lean
SpreadSEA +3.5 +1.5
TotalUnder 46.5 +2.0
MoneylineSF -130
ProjectionSF 23 – SEA 21
Model confidence62%
MIAMIA
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HOUHOU
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET Lean
SpreadHOU -2.5 +2.0
TotalOver 44.5 +1.0
MoneylineHOU -180
ProjectionMIA 21 – HOU 25
Model confidence62%
BALBAL
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CINCIN
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET Lean
SpreadCIN +2.5 +1.5
TotalUnder 48.5 +0.5
MoneylineBAL -115
ProjectionBAL 25 – CIN 24
Model confidence59%
PHIPHI
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DALDAL
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:20 PM ET Lean
SpreadPHI -1 +1.0
TotalUnder 47.5 +1.0
MoneylinePHI -130
ProjectionPHI 24 – DAL 22
Model confidence56%
KCKC
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LACLAC
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET Lean
SpreadLAC +3 +1.0
TotalUnder 45.5 +0.5
MoneylineKC -130
ProjectionKC 24 – LAC 22
Model confidence56%
MINMIN
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CHICHI
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET Lean
SpreadCHI +1.5 +1.0
TotalOver 42.5 +0.5
MoneylineMIN -105
ProjectionMIN 22 – CHI 21
Model confidence56%
DETDET
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GBGB
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET Pass
SpreadGB -1 +0.0
TotalUnder 49.5 +0.5
MoneylineGB -115
ProjectionDET 24 – GB 25
Model confidence53%
How to bet these picks responsibly
Size by confidence
More on strong plays, less on leans. A flat 1-unit strong / 0.5-unit lean plan keeps variance manageable.
Shop for the number
Half a point matters. Always take the best available line across your sportsbooks.
Bet edges early
When the model disagrees sharply with an opener, the market often corrects toward us. Early bettors get the best price.