Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears: prediction & pick
Minnesota Vikings visit Chicago Bears with the model leaning toward Minnesota Vikings. Our projection has MIN favored by roughly 0.5 points, a win probability near 52%, and a projected final of MIN 22 – CHI 21.
Against the spread
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is CHI +1.5, an edge of about 1.0 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
On the total, the model projects around 43.0 combined points versus a market number of 42.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of MIN 22 – CHI 21, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Lean at 56% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.