Model performance, in depth

Analytics

A live breakdown of where the model earns its edge — by market and by season. Every number here is computed from graded picks. Updated October 31, 2026.

Performance by market

Market	Record (W–L–P)	Win %	ROI	Units
Against the spread	36–47–0	43.4%	-17.2%	-14.3
Totals (O/U)	41–41–0	50%	-4.6%	-3.7
All markets	77–88–0	46.7%	-10.9%	-18.0

By season

Season	Win %	Net units	Record
2026	46.7%	-18	77–88–0

Note: figures update automatically as games are graded. Units assume 1 unit risked per play at -110; win rate excludes pushes.