NFLComputerPicksPhiladelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys: prediction & pick
Philadelphia Eagles visit Dallas Cowboys with the model leaning toward Philadelphia Eagles. Our projection has PHI favored by roughly 2.0 points, a win probability near 56%, and a projected final of PHI 24 – DAL 22.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -1.5 on DAL, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is PHI +1.5, an edge of about 3.5 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 46.5 points while the book has hung 49.5. That points to the Under 49.5, with about 3.0 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of PHI 24 – DAL 22, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 71% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.