NFLComputerPicksDetroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers: prediction & pick
When Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers meet, our simulation gives the edge to Green Bay Packers. Our projection has GB favored by roughly 1.0 points, a win probability near 53%, and a projected final of DET 24 – GB 25.
Against the spread
Against the spread, our number and the market number are close — the model doesn't see enough of an edge here to make it a play. Sometimes the sharpest read is to pass, and this is one of those games.
Total (over/under)
Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 49.0 points while the book has hung 49.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of DET 24 – GB 25, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a pass at 53% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.