NFLComputerPicksDetroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers: prediction & pick
When Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers meet, our simulation gives the edge to Green Bay Packers. Our projection has GB favored by roughly 1.0 points, a win probability near 53%, and a projected final of DET 24 – GB 25.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -2.5 on GB, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is DET +2.5, an edge of about 1.5 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 49.0 points while the book has hung 47.5. That points to the Over 47.5, with about 1.5 points of over edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of DET 24 – GB 25, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Lean at 59% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.