NFLComputerPicksSeattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos: prediction & pick
Denver Broncos host Seattle Seahawks in a matchup where the model sides with Denver Broncos. Our projection has DEN favored by roughly 2.0 points, a win probability near 56%, and a projected final of SEA 21 – DEN 23.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at 2.5 on DEN, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is DEN +2.5, an edge of about 4.5 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 44.0 points against the posted 43.5. That's too tight to bet with confidence — the total is best left alone here.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of SEA 21 – DEN 23, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 77% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.