Pittsburgh Steelers vs Philadelphia Eagles: prediction & pick
When Pittsburgh Steelers and Philadelphia Eagles meet, our simulation gives the edge to Philadelphia Eagles. Our projection has PHI favored by roughly 7.0 points, a win probability near 71%, and a projected final of PIT 18 – PHI 25.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -5.5 on PHI, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is PHI -5.5, an edge of about 1.5 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 43.5 points against the posted 42.5. That points to the Over 42.5, with about 1.0 points of over edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of PIT 18 – PHI 25, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Lean at 59% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.