New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals: prediction & pick

Cincinnati Bengals host New Orleans Saints in a matchup where the model sides with Cincinnati Bengals. Our projection has CIN favored by roughly 6.5 points, a win probability near 70%, and a projected final of NO 20 – CIN 26.

Against the spread

The market opened at -6.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is CIN -6.5, an edge of about 0.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

On the total, the model projects around 46.0 combined points versus a market number of 48.5. That points to the Under 48.5, with about 2.5 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of NO 20 – CIN 26, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Lean at 65% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.