NFLComputerPicksMinnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions: prediction & pick
When Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions meet, our simulation gives the edge to Detroit Lions. Our projection has DET favored by roughly 4.5 points, a win probability near 64%, and a projected final of MIN 21 – DET 26.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -4.5 on DET, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is DET -4.5, an edge of about 0.0 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 46.5 points while the book has hung 47.5. That points to the Under 47.5, with about 1.0 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of MIN 21 – DET 26, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Lean at 56% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.