NFLComputerPicksMiami Dolphins vs New York Jets: prediction & pick
Miami Dolphins visit New York Jets with the model leaning toward New York Jets. Our projection has NYJ favored by roughly 0.5 points, a win probability near 52%, and a projected final of MIA 23 – NYJ 23.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -2.5 on NYJ, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is MIA +2.5, an edge of about 2.0 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
On the total, the model projects around 45.5 combined points versus a market number of 41.5. That points to the Over 41.5, with about 4.0 points of over edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of MIA 23 – NYJ 23, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 74% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.