NFLComputerPicksMiami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings: prediction & pick
When Miami Dolphins and Minnesota Vikings meet, our simulation gives the edge to Minnesota Vikings. Our projection has MIN favored by roughly 3.5 points, a win probability near 61%, and a projected final of MIA 21 – MIN 25.
Against the spread
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -7.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is MIA +7.5, an edge of about 4.0 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 45.5 points while the book has hung 43.5. That points to the Over 43.5, with about 2.0 points of over edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of MIA 21 – MIN 25, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 74% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.