NFLComputerPicksMiami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos: prediction & pick
Miami Dolphins visit Denver Broncos with the model leaning toward Denver Broncos. Our projection has DEN favored by roughly 2.5 points, a win probability near 58%, and a projected final of MIA 22 – DEN 24.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -9.5 on DEN, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is MIA +9.5, an edge of about 7.0 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
On the total, the model projects around 46.0 combined points versus a market number of 42.5. That points to the Over 42.5, with about 3.5 points of over edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of MIA 22 – DEN 24, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 88% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.