Week 1 · Sun, Jan 3 · 9:05 PM ET

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals: prediction & pick

The model has run the numbers on Las Vegas Raiders at Arizona Cardinals and it likes Arizona Cardinals. Our projection has ARI favored by roughly 4.5 points, a win probability near 64%, and a projected final of LV 20 – ARI 25.

Against the spread

The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is ARI +1.5, an edge of about 6.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

On the total, the model projects around 44.5 combined points versus a market number of 42.5. That points to the Over 42.5, with about 2.0 points of over edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of LV 20 – ARI 25, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 86% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.