Week 1 · Sat, Dec 26 · 1:15 AM ET

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks: prediction & pick

The model has run the numbers on Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks and it likes Seattle Seahawks. Our projection has SEA favored by roughly 0.5 points, a win probability near 52%, and a projected final of LAR 22 – SEA 23.

Against the spread

Where the book sits at -1.5 on SEA, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is LAR +1.5, an edge of about 1.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 45.0 points against the posted 47.5. That points to the Under 47.5, with about 2.5 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of LAR 22 – SEA 23, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Lean at 65% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.