NFLComputerPicksJacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans: prediction & pick
When Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans meet, our simulation gives the edge to Jacksonville Jaguars. Our projection has JAX favored by roughly 1.5 points, a win probability near 55%, and a projected final of JAX 23 – TEN 21.
Against the spread
The market opened at 2.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is TEN +2.5, an edge of about 1.0 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 43.5 points against the posted 45.5. That points to the Under 45.5, with about 2.0 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of JAX 23 – TEN 21, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Lean at 62% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.