NFLComputerPicksIndianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers: prediction & pick
Pittsburgh Steelers host Indianapolis Colts in a matchup where the model sides with Pittsburgh Steelers. Our projection has PIT favored by roughly 4.0 points, a win probability near 63%, and a projected final of IND 19 – PIT 23.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -2.5 on PIT, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is PIT -2.5, an edge of about 1.5 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 42.5 points while the book has hung 47.5. That points to the Under 47.5, with about 5.0 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of IND 19 – PIT 23, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 80% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.