Week 1 · Tue, Dec 8 · 1:15 AM ET

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks: prediction & pick

Seattle Seahawks host Dallas Cowboys in a matchup where the model sides with Seattle Seahawks. Our projection has SEA favored by roughly 0.5 points, a win probability near 52%, and a projected final of DAL 23 – SEA 23.

Against the spread

Where the book sits at -4.5 on SEA, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is DAL +4.5, an edge of about 4.0 points in our favor.

Total (over/under)

Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 45.5 points while the book has hung 48.5. That points to the Under 48.5, with about 3.0 points of under edge.

The projection

Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of DAL 23 – SEA 23, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.

Betting involves risk. Lines move — always confirm the current number at your sportsbook before betting. 21+ where legal.

Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 74% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.