NFLComputerPicksDallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles: prediction & pick
When Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles meet, our simulation gives the edge to Philadelphia Eagles. Our projection has PHI favored by roughly 6.0 points, a win probability near 69%, and a projected final of DAL 20 – PHI 26.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -3 on PHI, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is PHI -3, an edge of about 3.0 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
On the total, the model projects around 46.5 combined points versus a market number of 48.5. That points to the Under 48.5, with about 2.0 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of DAL 20 – PHI 26, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 68% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.