NFLComputerPicksDallas Cowboys vs New York Giants: prediction & pick
New York Giants host Dallas Cowboys in a matchup where the model sides with Dallas Cowboys. Our projection has DAL favored by roughly 4.0 points, a win probability near 63%, and a projected final of DAL 25 – NYG 21.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at 2.5 on NYG, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is DAL -2.5, an edge of about 1.5 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
Totals-wise, the simulation expects roughly 45.0 points while the book has hung 47.5. That points to the Under 47.5, with about 2.5 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of DAL 25 – NYG 21, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Lean at 65% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.