NFLComputerPicksBuffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams: prediction & pick
Los Angeles Rams host Buffalo Bills in a matchup where the model sides with Buffalo Bills. Our projection has BUF favored by roughly 1.0 points, a win probability near 53%, and a projected final of BUF 24 – LAR 23.
Against the spread
Where the book sits at -3 on LAR, our simulation disagrees by enough to make this a live spread play. The recommendation is BUF +3, an edge of about 4.0 points in our favor.
Total (over/under)
On the total, the model projects around 47.0 combined points versus a market number of 53.5. That points to the Under 53.5, with about 6.5 points of under edge.
The projection
Running the matchup through the model produces a projected final score of BUF 24 – LAR 23, built from each team's power rating, home-field advantage, and pace. See how the model works for the full methodology.
Bottom line: the model rates this a Strong play at 88% confidence. As always, shop for the best available number and size the bet to your bankroll — a single game never makes or breaks a season.